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The Passdown Early Brief | Headlines | Warfighter's Forum | Discussions | Benefit Updates | Defense Tech
The East is Still Red
Joe Buff | September 11, 2006
aware of the rough analogy between their present growth-and-ambitiousness position, and the ones of Japan and Germany before those countries each started world wars. However, Beijing sees itself as having a much more than even chance of winning. Given the PRC's huge population, and ever improving strategic depth and dispersion as side benefits of rushed development throughout their vast interior, they won't blanch at a thermonuclear confrontation once they're ready; at the rate that American public casualty-aversiveness is growing, we'd blink first and China knows it.

Thus, according to the formal ideology (and in practical implementation too), the peaceful development road doesn't lead to peace, it leads to battle and only later to peace after victory. The Long War on Terror, in which Beijing already plays shrewd games against both sides, is to be exploited as a way to distract and wear down America while China steadily prepares for what my previous Passdown essay labeled this “Long-Off War” in the Pacific and beyond. To the PRC, the two wars don't exclude each other conceptually, as many in the U.S. appear to think. Rather, they're intimately connected in time and space, the LWOT a convenient prelude to the impending main event. (China might be inadvertantly handing our defense authorities a Rosetta Stone here, to resolve the divisive Beltway dichotomy between fighting one war and preparing for the next. If so, it behooves us to carefully examine the pictograms written on that stone.)

Hopefully, readers will now better understand the true background and impact of the revisions to Shanghai's history textbooks. Pragmatically, China needs a worldly-wise elite in order to optimize its targeted gains from carefully compartmentalized globalization. It won't do for Beijing's heirs to the mantle of power, including the so-called “princelings” (children of China's leaders of the past 30 years), to come across on the world stage as a gaggle of retro bumpkins. One must also bear in mind that only the history curriculum is changing. Mandatory courses in politics, CCP-style, remain. So does the standard post-Tianenmen xenophobic and patriotism engendering practice of how to teach reading in grammar school. This practice relies on anecdotes glorifying young people who helped fight the Japanese in World War II, resisted Chiang Kaishek's army during the 1949 Civil War, or endured great toils to help their collective's work team exceed its production quota during the Great Leap Forward. That's as Maoist as you can get.

Yes, the East is still Red, as red as the national ensigns flown on People's Liberation Army Navy ships and submarines.

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Copyright 2009 Joe Buff. All opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily reflect those of Military.com.

 
About Joe Buff

A former partner in a top-10 global management consulting firm, Joe Buff is a seasoned risk analyst and professional writer on national security and defense preparedness. Three of his non-fiction articles received annual literary awards from the Naval Submarine League.

He is also a national best-selling author of tales of near-future warfare featuring nuclear submariners and special operations forces in action at their bravest and best.  His latest novel, his sixth, Seas of Crisis, won the 2006 Admiral Nimitz Award for Outstanding Naval Fiction from the Military Writers Society of America.

Joe holds a master's degree in math from MIT, earned under a National Science Foundation Fellowship. He worked as an intern at the Argonne National Laboratory. Previously a qualified actuary for twenty years, with extensive experience at interpreting policy implications of dire "what if" scenarios, he is now a member of the Society for Risk Analysis, a non-partisan international scholarly body headquartered in McLean, VA.


Joe Buff Contact Info:
readermail@joebuff.com http://www.JoeBuff.com

Joe Buff Books:
Seas of Crisis
Straits of Power
Tidal Rip
Crush Depth
Thunder in the Deep
Deep Sound Channel

Straits of Power
Straits of Power
Seas of Crisis
Seas of Crisis