WASHINGTON - With $63 billion above and beyond the military's annual budget already earmarked for
military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan for 2004, the Pentagon's top budget
official said he expects the Defense Department will require another
supplemental appropriation to cover the bill in 2005 as well.
"My belief is it's still premature in Iraq and Afghanistan to build those costs
in" to the annual budget, Pentagon Comptroller Dov Zakheim told reporters
Wednesday.
Zakheim said it took three years for the day-to-day costs of running the
peacekeeping mission in the Balkans to make it into the standard operations and
maintenance budget line rather than as an annual supplemental. The Pentagon
received nearly $380 billion for 2004, not counting the $63 billion, itself part
of the larger $87 billion supplemental requested for next year. Around $18.6
billion of that is earmarked for Iraqi reconstruction. Just over $51 billion is
for military operations in Iraq and $10 billion for operations in Afghanistan.
Of the $51 billion, $2.8 billion alone is just to refurbish the military tanks,
airplanes and other equipment exposed to the harsh desert environment and
continuous use. It includes $5.6 billion for new equipment and weapons.
Zakheim reiterated his pledge to Congress the Pentagon would not seek any
additional money in 2004. But he indicated a supplemental would be needed for
2005.
The monthly cost of the war in Iraq at its height was about $3.9 billion.
Zakheim said it is now less than that and getting smaller as more American
troops are withdrawn.
There are now roughly 130,000 U.S. soldiers in Iraq. By June the Pentagon
expects to replace them with roughly 105,000 soldiers and Marines. At $3.9
billion a month for Iraq, the Pentagon could be requesting more than $45 billion
extra in 2005, on top of the $419 billion anticipated top line for next year.
Since taking the helm of the government in 2001, the Bush administration has
boosted the annual Pentagon budget by about $100 billion, from just under $300
billion to $400 billion in 2004.
In addition to that increase, the Defense Department has won nearly $155 billion
extra in supplemental appropriations since 2001.
"Most people are under the misconception that the defense budget pays for wars.
It doesn't," said Christopher Hellman, a budget analyst with the Center for Arms
Control and Non-Proliferation in Washington, DC.
"Obviously it's a budgetary necessity but it gets you into some trouble. It's a
system structured in such a way if you want to take advantage of it, it's
fraught with difficulties," Hellman said.
Supplemental requests tend to be less detailed than the annual budget requests
and are generally on a shorter time line. They also have greater urgency
associated with them as they are only offered in times of "emergency." The $87
billion Iraq supplemental recently approved by Congress is a case in point: only
the $18.6 billion earmarked for Iraq received much scrutiny from Congress. The
remainder was seen as "supporting the troops" and therefore not reviewed with
the same vigor.
"Twenty-five percent of the annual defense budget is part of a supplemental over
the long term, and yet if we are going to have major deployments I'm not sure
how we are going to get around that. But it's definitely an area for concern,"
Hellman said.
Supplementals have made up large huge part of this administration's Pentagon
budgets. The Pentagon requested about $6.5 billion in 2001 in addition to its
$310.6 billion budget. In 2002, it received an additional $22 billion post Sept.
11 supplemental in addition to the annual $350.8 billion budget. In 2003 the
Pentagon received about $62.4 billion as a wartime supplemental on top of its
$3882.2 billion operating budget. In 2004 it has already won $63 billion in
supplements -- not counting the $18 billion earmarked for Iraq reconstruction --
on top of roughly $401 billion.
Zakheim indicated the Pentagon is on track to request $419 billion for 2005, a
budget which is expected to be finalized by later December or early February.
The final top line will be determined in negotiation with the Office of
Management and Budget.
The 2004 budget inaugurated a new practice for the Pentagon -- that of two-year
budgets rather than one.
The Byzantine budgeting process at the Pentagon absorbs tremendous numbers of
man-hours and devolves into bitter fights among and between the services every
year. Budgeting for two years at a time raises the stakes for each round, but
also introduces some measure of predictability and stability for massive
programs.
Any major changes in the services request must be offset with cuts in the
budget, Zakheim said, which will leave the top line relatively untouched.
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