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September 7, 2005: Lessons From Katrina - "I'm not suggesting that terrorism isn't a major problem, but efforts focused on terrorism cannot dwarf all of the other necessities of our government."
August 30, 2005: Oil Slipping Away - "If anything were to happen to disrupt the flow of Saudi oil, the impacts from Katrina would be like a nursery school exercise."
August 24, 2005: A Time Out for Israel and the Palestinians - "Now that this Gaza withdrawal has been completed, the question is what happens next with respect to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?"
August 17, 2005: The Disintegration of Iraq - "Once we leave Iraq, the cracks will turn into fissures, and then -- a full-scale division."
August 10, 2005: Leadership in the Middle East - "Unless Abbas moves quickly, there will be a mess in Gaza after the Israeli pullout."
August 3, 2005: Baghdad Is Not Philadelphia - "Will Iraqi versions of Thomas Jefferson, John Adams and Ben Franklin please come forward? We desperately need you right now."
July 27, 2005: The India Gamble - "The Middle East is only a sideshow. The real action will be with China."
July 20, 2005: Plamegate Is Not Watergate - "Some in the media love to go to the mat on anything that allegedly impinges on their absolute freedom."
July 13, 2005: Ungrateful in Baghdad - "In our precarious economic situation, we can't risk all of that Iraqi oil falling into hostile hands."
July 6, 2005: A Wake-Up Call - "The United States is in this mess because we as a country have failed miserably to reduce our dependence on foreign oil."
June 29, 2005: Iraq Is About Oil - "The time has come for the President to state publicly what most of Washington has long been discussing. The Iraqi war is about oil."
June 22, 2005: A Sham Election - "By way of background, the idea of Iranians electing a president is a sick joke."
June 16, 2005: Race Against Time in Iraq - "The recruitment results and the national poll have an obvious link -- the President is losing the American people."
June 8, 2005: China on My Mind - "We're acting like a horse on a track, trotting along unaware that we're in a race for our economic survival."
June 3, 2005: No U.S. of Europe - "The French government never made an effective case that their personal lives would be improved by full integration with twenty-four other nations."
May 25, 2005: Democracy in Egypt? - "With a country as pivotal as Egypt at stake, it's not surprising that the Bush administration isn't criticizing Mubarak for making a sham of democracy."
May 18, 2005: European Failure - "The US remained on the sidelines as France, Germany and Britain undertook negotiations with Iran."
May 11, 2005: Roller Coaster Ride In Iraq - "This week, the roller coaster turned upward again. A hundred insurgents were killed and their infrastructure was damaged."
May 4, 2005: The President as a Beggar - "At this rate, whatever social security payments we receive will all end up going for electricity and gasoline."
April 27, 2005: Mirage in the Middle East - "We're no longer in the 1930s, when an Asian war could remain only in Asia."
April 21, 2005: Russian Roulette in Asia - "We're no longer in the 1930s, when an Asian war could remain only in Asia."
April 13, 2005: Bush's Support For Sharon - "In the face of incredible opposition, Sharon has managed to dominate the Israeli political system."
April 6, 2005: April in Paris - "The single most important policy of President Jacques Chirac's government has been to push for an expansion of the European Union."
March 30, 2005: Thugs in Damascus - "With a strong show of French force, the Syrians are likely to back down. The world is waiting to see what Chirac will do."
March 23, 2005: Iraq After Two Years - "Now is an opportune time to take stock of what the United States has gained -- and what it has lost from this war."
March 16, 2005: Enigma Within an Enigma - "For the United States, China and Japan, Taiwan could easily be the flashpoint for a war that none of the parties want. "
March 9, 2005: Window of Opportunity - "Spring is here. There is no baseball in Israel. But peace is in the air."
March 2, 2005: Shifting Sands in Asia - "The United States and Japan have begun to realize how powerful China is likely to become, both economically and militarily, as this century proceeds -- and both are terrified by that prospect."
February 23, 2005: Syrian Strangle Hold - "It was a classic case of the bodyguard taking over the house and terrorizing the family. I think that there was a Broadway play with this storyline once. If there wasn't, there should be."
February 16, 2005: Congressional Mischief - "Nothing's quite as bad as Congress legislating in reaction to public pressure. The Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 is a prime example."
February 9, 2005: Consequences of the Iraqi Election - "Bottom line, spring came early to Washington this year. On January 30th, to be precise. When Iraqis turned out in huge numbers to vote."
February 4, 2005: Hopeful Signs in the Middle East - "We understand that Rome wasn't built in a day, but some expect Iraqi democracy to be."
January 26, 2005: Program For Iraqi Elections - "The fact that many Iraqis are voting for their leaders is a tremendous accomplishment. It's a long way from Saddam Hussein's torture and chemical warfare."
January 19, 2005: A Ticking Time Bomb - "Early in the Bush administration, we put on blinders and hoped the problem would go away. Not a wise tactic in the long run."
January 13, 2005: Get Tough With Syria - "What we have to do is to stop the insurgency by cutting it off at its roots."
January 5, 2005: Russian Nuclear Cloud - "These weapons may become a critical part of the arsenal for Czar Vladimir the Great."
December 22, 2004: Egyptian Israeli Thaw - "Will the Iraqis move from chaos to a democratic nation? Will the Palestinians finally get their act together and start behaving rationally after Yassir Arafat's death?"
December 15, 2004: Intelligence Nightmare - "Placing so much power in the hands of a single individual, who is not elected by the people, is dangerous. It is a threat to our democracy."
December 8, 2004: The Shifting Sands of Iraq - "It's time to recognize that the United States is in the middle of what's headed toward a bloody civil war. We need a Plan B for Iraq."
December 1, 2004: An Eye on Asia - "Let's not delude ourselves into believing that Asia is Western Europe. The powder kegs left behind in 1945 could easily be reignited."
November 24, 2004: Dumping the Dollar - "Politics always follows the money. It's a variation of the golden rule that he who has the gold, rules."
November 17, 2004: The Election Dilemma - "Democracy may be making inroads in the Arab world, however slow and painful."
November 10, 2004: No Dignity in Death - "Arafat has never been part of the solution to the Israel Palestinian conflict. He has consistently been part of the problem. "
November 3, 2004: Europe in Turmoil - "As one British commentator expressed, 'We're not about to cede our prerogatives to a bunch of cone-headed bureaucrats in Brussels.'"
October 27, 2004: Coping With the Intifada - "In contrast to the Israeli situation, there is only gloom and despair on the Palestinian side. The Intifada has meant misery for Arafat's people without any offsetting benefit."
October 20, 2004: Iraqi Elections? - "Policymakers in the Pentagon should consider taking out a fifty billion dollar insurance policy on Allawi's life."
October 13, 2004: Election Season - "Until the Afghan election, the idea of free elections in Middle Eastern countries seemed like a delusion on the part of some American idealists."
October 6, 2004: Showdown Over Iran - "If Saddam Hussein was a great source of pain in the Middle East, then the Iranian government is a cancer."
September
30, 2004: Blame It on the Vodka - "How is it that a country that
has spawned so many talented scientists, writers and musicians can't develop
a responsive system of government?"
September
21, 2004: Turkey on the Edge - "If the EU votes no, this will
confirm the view of hardliners in the Muslim world that a war is being
waged by Christians against Islam."
September
15, 2004: Revolutionizing Presidential Elections - "The ballot
will contain a proposal to replace the state's winner-take-all approach
with a new procedure to divide up Colorado's nine electoral votes in proportion
to each candidate's popular vote."
September 1, 2004:
The Dismemberment of Iraq? - "If our objective is a single democratic
secular nation in the territory that was Iraq, then we have suffered a
setback."
August 25, 2004: The
Germans are Upset - "They're not concerned that they'll be exposed
to a military threat without the American shield. Rather, their concern
is economic."
August 19, 2004: How
High Will it Go? - "The price of low sulfur crude, the most widely
watched oil price, closed at a record high level of $46.58 a barrel."
August 11, 2004: Goodbye
Iraqi Democracy - "We shouldn't be shedding any tears for the
abandonment of Iraqi democracy. Not when the result would have been another
Islamic theocracy."
August 4, 2004: Where
Are the Arabs? - "It is almost criminal that the Arab nations
are refusing to come to the aid of the Iraqi people."
July 28, 2004: Arafat
Should Step Down - "There is only one good thing he can now do
for the Palestinian people: resign."
July 21, 2004: The
Kurdish Complication - "The Kurds want a veto over the enactment
of important laws. Otherwise, the Kurds believe - and history supports
- that the Arab majority will trample their rights."
July 15, 2004: The
Iraqi Endgame - "Let's forget about democracy for Iraq as we
know it in the United States. Iraq will never be like Ohio."
July 7, 2004: Democracy
in the Middle East - "This remarkable decision is an incredible
example of a Middle Eastern country functioning as a genuine democracy
and upholding the rule of law."
June 30, 2004: Politics
and Foreign Policy - "The time has come to end the bitter hostility
on Iraq in the United States, regardless of what people thought of the
war."
June 23, 2004: The
Energy Project - "The United States should launch a massive national
scientific effort to develop alternative sources of fuel along the lines
of the Manhattan project during the second World War."
June 14, 2004: Strains
in the Atlantic Alliance - "The bitterness that began in the
days preceding the war in Iraq has intensified at the government level."
June 2, 2004: Good
News for Bush - "Our beleaguered president has finally received
some good news and achieved a significant victory."
May 26, 2004: Agony
At The Pump - "At this time next year, Americans will yearn for
the [gas] prices they are now paying."
May 19, 2004: Who Will
Try Saddam Hussein? - "Six weeks before June 30, our game plan
seems to be that we don't have a game plan."
May 12, 2004: The Sharon
Plan Is Not Dead - "As we have seen in other contexts, when Bush
is personally committed on a course of action, he does not back away."
May 5, 2004: The Fragmentation
of Iraq - "Turning military control over to Saddam's former generals
may achieve stability in the north. But at an expensive price."
April 28, 2004: Is
the 9/11 Commission a Mistake? - "It would be tragic if our intelligence
agencies are weakened and less able to do their jobs because of the 9/11
Commission."
April 21, 2004: An
Historic Event - "The pronouncements on April 14 prove that Arafat
lost. President Bush does not reward terrorism."
April 14, 2004: Iraq
is Not Vietnam - "Those Americans who care deeply about our young
men and women dying in Iraq should do something other than throw their
hands up in despair and chastise the American government."
April 7, 2004: Old
Enemies; A New Round? - "It seems inevitable that a military
clash over oil will eventually occur between [China and Japan]."
March 31, 2004: Dark
Clouds Over Asia - "Chen Shui-Bian is behaving like a blackjack
player who has decided to double down with a pair of sixes."
March 24, 2004: Give
Them Part of Spain? - "[The Europeans] may despise Bush ... but
they're in this battle with us whether they like it or not."
March 17, 2004: A Double
Victory for the Terrorists - "Implicit in the message of the
Spanish voters [to the terrorists] was, 'attack someone else'."
March 10, 2004: Hold
the Applause for Iraq - "The Shiites have one objective right
now: to get the Americans out of Iraq so they can begin to transform the
country into a theocracy. "
March 3, 2004: Two
Down and Two To Go - "The Syrian ruler is smart enough to recognize
threats and bluster with nothing behind them to punish noncompliance."
February
25, 2004: A Federation for Iraq - "The day the U.S. withdraws
from Iraq is the day the bloody civil war will start."
February
18, 2004: Same Old Russia - "Given Russia's long history of authoritarianism,
we must all have been delusional to believe the zebra could eliminate
its stripes."
February
11, 2004: That's the Trouble with Democracy - "The experience
of the thirteen American colonies forging the United States contains some
valuable lessons for Chirac and Schroeder if they took time off from wielding
a sledgehammer and read history."
February
4, 2004: Suspend the Finger Pointing about Iraq - "It's time
as a nation we stopped whining about how we got to where we are and move
on to figuring out how to fulfill our objectives."
January
28, 2004: Crusaders in the Classroom - "Chirac, who tried to
present himself as "the good guy" to the Arab world in contrast to "cowboy
Bush," is now presented as perhaps an even bigger villain."
January
21, 2004: The Delusion of Democracy in Iraq - "The time has come
to abandon the concept that Iraq can be a democracy anything like the
United States, England or France."
January
14, 2004: Turmoil in Asia - "With so much of our military committed
to the Middle East, at this point in time we don't have the resources
for a major military effort elsewhere in the world."
January
7, 2004: Israel's Security Fence: Everyone's a Winner - "It's
time to recognize the benefits of the fence and stop quibbling about a
few kilometers here or there."
December
23, 2003: The Resurgence of Japanese Militarism - "The twenty-first
century will be a struggle between the United States and China for supremacy
in the world. Economic and otherwise."
December
17, 2003: Tough Times for Democracy - "Personally, I had serious
doubts even when the war was being fought whether it would ever be possible
to have a democratic Iraq in the sense that we have a democratic United
States. It seemed a little like making a pig fly."
December
10, 2003: Cracks in the EU - "The Western European nations were
marching in tandem, joined more recently by their Eastern European brethren
toward a new reality: A United States of Europe. But now, fundamental
issues have arisen which cast doubt on the structure's foundation."
December
4, 2003: War Over Taiwan? - "Taiwan is playing a dangerous game
by baiting China. The likelihood of a miscalculation is huge. After all,
hardliners in Beijing have been looking for an excuse to attack Taiwan
for years. It makes no sense to provide one to them at this time."
November
26, 2003: Why Turkey? - "There may be some extremists who view
Turkey as a battleground in their New Crusade. You can bet the Turkish
army won't let it happen."
November
19, 2003: Who Will Succeed the House of Saud? - "The time has
come to cultivate and expand our relationships with Saudi officers. An
interim rule by the military on the way toward a more democratic Saudi
Arabia is the best horse the United States can ride in this race."
November
12, 2003: Is It Really a New China? - "A powerful Taiwanese military
will be the only real deterrent stopping a hard-line leader in Beijing
from launching those missiles."
Allan Topol is a partner in a large Washington-based international law firm. He has a science and engineering degree from Carnegie Mellon, and a law degree from Yale University. For almost 40 years, he has been involved in issues at the height of the Washington power structure.
He is also a national bestselling novelist, using the thriller genre to explore international geopolitical and military issues. His new novel, ENEMY OF MY ENEMY, dealing with an American pilot shot down over Eastern Turkey and Russian nuclear weapons, was released February 1, 2005.
His 2001 novel, SPY DANCE, is about a former CIA agent on the run and Saudi Arabian oil. His 2003 novel, DARK AMBITION, deals with the corruption of power in Washington and China's threatening posture toward Taiwan. In January 2004, his new novel CONSPIRACY was released dealing with a foreign leader's attempt to influence an American presidential election and the possibility of renewed militarism in Japan.
Allan Topol contact info:
Allan Topol Website
Email Allan Topol
Allan Topol Books:
Spy Dance
Dark Ambition
Conspiracy
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© 2005 Allan Topol. All opinions expressed
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