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Secrecy News: Critical Nuke Accidents; Intelligence Review Forever
Secrecy News: Critical Nuke Accidents; Intelligence Review Forever

 
About Secrecy News

SECRECY NEWS is an email publication of the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) Project on Government Secrecy. It provides informal coverage of new developments in secrecy, security and intelligence policies, as well as links to new acquisitions on the Federation of American Scientists web site. It is published 2 to 3 times a week, or as events warrant.

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February 19, 2004


[Have an opinion about this column? Visit the Secrecy News discussion forum.]


A REVIEW OF CRITICALITY ACCIDENTS

Among the Los Alamos documents preserved by Walker and Sublette is a 1967 account of all known nuclear "criticality" accidents as of that time.

A criticality accident is an unintended acceleration of the chain reaction of neutrons in a mass of fissile material. In a worst case scenario, supercriticality can lead to fuel melting and explosion. Of 34 criticality incidents identified by the Los Alamos report, six of them resulted in a total of eight deaths.

Does public access to such reports matter? Would an ordinary member of the public have any interest in a technical account of past criticality accidents?

The answer is yes. In fact, twenty years ago the history of nuclear reactor criticality accidents was at the center of a public dispute over the safety of the small research reactor on the UCLA campus before it was permanently shut down in 1984.

The Los Angeles-based Committee to Bridge the Gap, led by Dan Hirsch, successfully challenged relicensing of the UCLA reactor after pointing out that the water-cooled, graphite moderated reactor core had positive reactivity coefficients, a significant design flaw, and was vulnerable to an accidental power excursion. Public access to technical reports bearing on the problem played a crucial role in clarifying the issue and ensuring public safety.

See "A Review of Criticality Accidents" by William R. Stratton, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory report number LA-3611, January 1967 (112 pages, 3.9 MB PDF file).



INTELLIGENCE REVIEW FOREVER

The state of U.S. intelligence is such that "It is not surprising that hypotheses tend to harden into dogma, that their sensitivity to changed conditions is not articulated, and that new data are not sought to test them."

Remarkably, this critique of intelligence comes from the CIA itself. And as perfectly apt as it may sound today, it was written in 1971.

The same critique notes an imbalance between collection and analysis, tensions between civilian and military intelligence, and the structural weakness that limits the effectiveness of the DCI.

The enduring relevance of these and other criticisms more than 30 years later suggests that efforts to reform the U.S. intelligence bureaucracy are futile and possibly diversionary.

See "A Review of the Intelligence Community," March 10, 1971, released in declassified form in 1998 (50 pages, 800 KB PDF file).

© 2004, Federation of American Scientists. All opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily reflect those of Military.com.


 



 



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